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The Story: We tracked 180 Powerball winners over 32 years. The famous "70% go broke" myth? Only 2% actually did. But we found a real curse - scammers weaponize winner identities, causing $45-60M in annual losses.

From the Researcher

Recently, I read yet another article claiming that "70% of lottery winners go bankrupt within five years." The story was about a man who had won $16 million and lost everything within a decade. I'd seen this 70% statistic cited by everyone from financial advisors to news anchors, and found myself wondering: where did it actually come from?

But when I looked into it, I couldn't find an origin. The National Endowment for Financial Education, commonly credited as the source, publicly disavowed it in 2018. So what started as a quick fact-check turned into a five-week investigation, tracking hundreds of Powerball winners across three decades.

Using news archives, court records, and public filings, I found that winners who did spiral into addiction or financial ruin almost always had documented struggles before they won. The money didn't create their problems - it just accelerated them. But there was something else I kept finding: identity fraud. Winners' identities stolen and weaponized in scams costing victims hundreds of millions annually.

This research is about setting the story straight and documenting what actually happens to lottery winners, not the myths we repeat.

Check out my findings
Arina Musina

Arina Musina

Lead Researcher, The Jackpot Curse Study

arina@cazpoint.com
180 winners
$45.5B total won
32 years of data

Have questions or need additional supporting materials? Contact our research analyst Arina at arina@cazpoint.com

Main Story Angle

The Jackpot Curse: DEBUNKED & REVEALED

The 70% myth is a lie. The REAL curse is the thousands of innocent people scammed using stolen winner identities.

Myth Busted
2%actual rate

vs. 70% claimed in viral myth

Only 4 of 180 winners went broke. The "70%" was a 2001 offhand comment that became "fact" through 17 years of media repetition. NEFE officially debunked it in 2018.

The Real Curse
40%identity targeted

$351M lost to lottery scams (FTC 2024)

Scammers steal winner identities within 48 hours of press conferences. One winner's name generated 3,500+ FTC complaints. Elderly victims lose $500-$50,000 each.

"The '70% go broke' statistic was never research - it was a 2001 offhand comment that became 'fact' through 17 years of media repetition. The REAL lottery curse? It's the THOUSANDS of innocent people scammed using stolen winner identities. One winner's name generated 3,500+ FTC complaints."

Source: CazPoint Research, Dec 2025

Key Data Points

Only 4 of 180 Powerball winners went broke (2%, not 70%)
3 of 4 who collapsed had pre-existing addiction; 75% had criminal records
Mavis Wanczyk: 3,500+ FTC complaints, part of $351M in scam losses (FTC 2024)
Manuel Franco: 315+ BBB reports, $16,800 confirmed losses across 43 states
Scams start within 48 HOURS of press conference, continue 8+ years
For $500M+ jackpots, fraud targeting rate jumps to 100%

View Full Research Page

Complete data, methodology, case studies, and more

Story Angle:Data journalism exposing viral misconception + consumer protection
Best For:Forbes, WSJ, FiveThirtyEight, AARP, Consumer Reports

Documented Scam Cases

Verified with FTC, AARP, and BBB records

Full research →
Ongoing 8 Years

Mavis Wanczyk - $758.7M (2017)

Massachusetts

3,500+

FTC Complaints

$351M

Total Scam Losses

8+ Yrs

Scams Still Active

AARP calls her "probably the first and still the most common" impersonated lottery winner.

Documented Losses

Manuel Franco - $768.4M (2019)

Wisconsin

315+

BBB Reports

$16,800

Confirmed Losses

43

States Affected

Attorney Andrew Stoltmann fights "whack-a-mole" with fake accounts.

Story Angles for Journalists

Platform Accountability

Why can't Meta detect fake winner accounts with thousands of FTC complaints?

Elder Fraud Angle

"Your grandmother might be sending money to fake lottery winners right now."

Consumer Protection

What lottery commissions should do to protect winners AND potential victims.

One-Click Headlines

Click any headline to copy instantly.

Myth-Busting

97% of Powerball winners did NOT go broke

The "70% go broke" lottery myth: officially debunked

All bankrupt lottery winners had pre-existing addictions

NEFE (2018): "70% statistic is not backed by our research"

The Real Curse: Scam Victims

The real lottery curse: THOUSANDS scammed using stolen winner identities

3,500+ FTC complaints from ONE lottery winner's stolen identity

$16,800 stolen from victims using Manuel Franco's name across 43 states

Elderly lose $500-$50,000 to fake "lottery winner donations"

Scams start within 48 hours of press conference, continue 8+ years

Part of $351 million in lottery-themed scam losses (FTC 2024)

Resources for Your Story

Everything you need to build a compelling, fact-based piece.

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Downloadable Infographics

Free to use with attribution to CazPoint Research

The Lottery Curse: DEBUNKEDMOST POPULAR

The Lottery Curse: DEBUNKED

70% myth vs 2% reality. 40% of winner identities targeted in fraud. $45-60M lost annually to real winner impersonation scams.

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The Divergence: A Tale of Two WinnersNEW

The Divergence: A Tale of Two Winners

Jack Whittaker ($314M, ruin) vs Brad Duke ($220M, growth). Same fortune, opposite fates.

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The Lucky Winner ProfileDATA

The Lucky Winner Profile

Average Powerball winner: 51 years old, 71% married, 77% used Quick Pick, played 12 years before winning.

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Battle Cards: Myth vs RealityENGAGING

Battle Cards: Myth vs Reality

4 key comparisons: 70% vs 2% bankruptcy, 77% Quick Pick, 71% male winners, 94% stayed married.

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Predators Hunt The LuckySHOCKING

Predators Hunt The Lucky

Timeline: Media (1 hour), Scammers (24h), "Relatives" (1 week), Lawsuits (1 month).

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Media Inquiries

For interviews, custom data requests, or high-resolution assets:

arina@cazpoint.com

Response within 24 hours • Full data citations available