70% 2% of winners
go broke

The viral claim has been repeated for 20+ years. We traced the source, analyzed 180 Powerball winners, and found the truth.

70%
The Myth
2%
The Reality
180
Winners Studied
The Myth
70%

"70% of lottery winners go bankrupt within 5 years"

Source: None. NEFE debunked this in 2018.
The Reality
2%

Only 4 of 162 winners with documented outcomes

Source: CazPoint Research, 1992-2024
🔍

Where Did the 70% Come From?

Tracing a misquote that became "fact"

The statistic is attributed to the National Endowment for Financial Education (NEFE). But in January 2018, NEFE officially stated:

"The NEFE does not have any research to support the claim that 70% of lottery winners go bankrupt within a few years."

- NEFE Official Statement, 2018

The "Telephone Game" Timeline

2001A panelist at a NEFE think tank made an offhand comment (not research)
2002A reporter misconstrued it as a "research finding"
YearsCircular citation - media cited each other without checking
2018NEFE officially debunked the statistic they never created
📊

What Our Research Shows

180 documented winners, 32 years of data

180
Winners Studied
4
Went Bankrupt
2%
Actual Rate

Based on documented Powerball jackpot winners from 1992-2024, verified through public records, court documents, and news archives.

📰

Media Narrative vs. Data

Comparing headlines to reality

ClaimMedia SaysData Shows
Bankruptcy rate"70% go broke"2% (4/162)
Typical story"Misery & regret"Most stay stable
Murder risk"Blood money"2 cases in 30 years
RepresentativeJack Whittaker"Vanishers" - 0% broke

The Same Stories, Recycled Forever

Despite thousands of winners each year, media recycles the same 5-10 tragic stories from 20+ years ago:

Jack Whittaker 2002Abraham Shakespeare 2006Michael Carroll 2002Jeffrey Dampier 1996Billie Bob Harrell 1997Evelyn Adams 1985

If 70% really went broke, there would be thousands of recent examples - not the same 6 stories for 30 years.

💡

The "Curse" is a Choice

Spending patterns predict outcomes, not lottery wins

60%
Bankruptcy Rate
Extravagant Spenders
3 of 5 winners
0%
Bankruptcy Rate
Conservative Spenders
0 of 96 winners

What 96% of Winners Do Right

63%
Hired Advisor
56%
Invested Wisely
52%
Gave to Charity
29%
Same Home
📋

The 4 Who Did Go Broke

Pre-existing vulnerabilities, not lottery curse

Jack Whittaker

West Virginia, 2002

$314.9M
4 years to brokeAlcohol addictionNo advisorCriminal record

Already wealthy before winning. Alcoholism led to poor decisions. Granddaughter died of overdose, wife divorced him.

David Lee Edwards

Kentucky, 2001

$98.3M
5 years to brokeHeroin addictionNo advisorEx-convict

Already a convicted felon with drug history. Spent $12M in first year. Died penniless in hospice care.

Mack Wayne Metcalf

Kentucky, 2000

$65.4M
3 years to brokeAlcohol addictionNo advisorCriminal record

Existing alcoholism. Went through money in just 3 years. Died at 45 from alcohol complications.

Myrna Shearer

Pennsylvania, 2008

$58.6M
11 years to brokeNo addictionUnknown advisorClean record

The outlier - no addiction, no criminal record. Failed business venture took 11 years (longest of any case).

The Pattern Is Clear

75%
Had substance abuse
75%
Had criminal record
0%
Hired advisors
25%
Business failure only
⚠️

The Real Risks (Not Bankruptcy)

What data actually shows about winner challenges

2%
Financial Ruin
4 of 162
7%
Divorced
6 of 84 tracked
40%
Identity Targeted
68 verified

The biggest real risk isn't bankruptcy - it's identity fraud targeting.Learn more →

The Myth is Dead. The Data is Clear.

70%2%. The "lottery curse" isn't about the money. The 4 winners who did go broke had pre-existing vulnerabilities that the money amplified.

Winners who spend conservatively, hire advisors, and avoid addiction have a 0% bankruptcy rate.

Source: CazPoint Powerball Winners Study, 180 documented winners (1992-2024). Financial outcome data available for 162 winners (90% coverage).

View full methodology →